Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.267976 3.458865 3.662061 3.895690 4.158474 4.446830 4.789856
2025-07-20 3.053415 3.321761 3.622919 3.990473 4.433515 4.959479 5.646098
2025-07-27 2.966331 3.306935 3.708090 4.226578 4.897248 5.765028 7.030821
2025-08-03 2.851338 3.242114 3.721058 4.371525 5.268965 6.532551 8.610762
2025-08-10 2.683407 3.093458 3.610421 4.338593 5.394492 6.988103 9.909312
2025-08-17 2.480601 2.882848 3.398543 4.141220 5.252387 7.007963 10.484103
2025-08-24 2.334197 2.733663 3.254113 4.020094 5.202725 7.162603 11.391694
2025-08-31 2.241382 2.647521 3.186313 3.999233 5.301594 7.590146 13.127083
2025-09-07 2.129786 2.529048 3.064713 3.885741 5.233049 7.696201 14.176319
2025-09-14 2.029543 2.420333 2.949449 3.770999 5.146514 7.748497 15.142059
2025-09-21 1.939874 2.321596 2.842375 3.659813 5.052071 7.765454 16.047292
2025-09-28 1.896444 2.284000 2.820005 3.678133 5.186840 8.300470 19.344629
2025-10-05 1.877190 2.285623 2.864122 3.823540 5.612450 9.747872 30.911639
2025-10-12 1.832883 2.249806 2.850974 3.875417 5.877836 10.988988 51.928081
2025-10-19 1.824353 2.264789 2.916096 4.070607 6.495332 13.814812 369.033061
2025-10-26 1.797135 2.250628 2.934655 4.186405 6.981236 16.913130 NaN
2025-11-02 1.739853 2.188507 2.872061 4.143709 7.077754 18.569975 NaN
2025-11-09 1.658441 2.086620 2.739352 3.954802 6.764522 17.834654 NaN
2025-11-16 1.596572 2.012053 2.647794 3.838942 6.627309 18.056660 NaN
2025-11-23 1.556878 1.969463 2.606278 3.816879 6.737152 19.966134 NaN
2025-11-30 1.504366 1.905294 2.525812 3.710874 6.597339 20.126149 NaN
2025-12-07 1.454844 1.844108 2.447734 3.604285 6.440718 20.068324 NaN
2025-12-14 1.408675 1.786697 2.373733 3.501235 6.280760 19.890802 NaN